A poem for ME Day 2021
When I am 64 and other false positives : The PACE Trial.
Greg Crowhurst 6 th February 2013 “Much of what we think we know based on conventional statistical studies published in the academic literature stands a good chance of just not being so “ Roger Pielke Jr http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.co.uk/2012/03/false-positive-science.html Imagine I am a psychiatrist and for £5 million, say , I want to prove that CBT and GET are a safe and useful treatment for ME. The good news is “ how unacceptably easy it is to accumulate (and report) statistically significant evidence for a false hypothesis , according to Nelson and Simonsohn (2011). Their frightening paper “ False-Positive Psychology, ” shows how “ undisclosed flexibility in data collection and analysis allows presenting anything as significant ,” . In fact Nelson and Simonshon statistically “prove” that listening to “ When I am 64 ” by the Beatles can make you a couple of years younger ! http://pss.sagepub.com/content/22/11/1359.full.pdf+html The bad new
Hello. I am sorry to have lost contact with Greg on facebook. This is to thank you both for all you have done to help carers and pw severe & very severe ME. My daughter, 26, is not post-viral but has steadily deteriorated from severe to very severe. She now needs full time care. I, 60, cannot do this alone or forever. Your publications have helped me begin the difficult process of recruiting staff. Thank you, with tears of gratitude, love and solidarity. Sarah
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