When I am 64 and other false positives : The PACE Trial.
Greg Crowhurst 6 th February 2013 “Much of what we think we know based on conventional statistical studies published in the academic literature stands a good chance of just not being so “ Roger Pielke Jr http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.co.uk/2012/03/false-positive-science.html Imagine I am a psychiatrist and for £5 million, say , I want to prove that CBT and GET are a safe and useful treatment for ME. The good news is “ how unacceptably easy it is to accumulate (and report) statistically significant evidence for a false hypothesis , according to Nelson and Simonsohn (2011). Their frightening paper “ False-Positive Psychology, ” shows how “ undisclosed flexibility in data collection and analysis allows presenting anything as significant ,” . In fact Nelson and Simonshon statistically “prove” that listening to “ When I am 64 ” by the Beatles can make you a couple of years younger ! http://pss.sagepub.com/content/22/11/1359.full.pdf+html The bad new
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